NEW DELHI: India’s hopes of reaching the semifinals of the ICC Girls’s T20 World Cup 2024 took a major blow after their heavy 58-run defeat towards New Zealand in Dubai on Friday.
Getting into the match as one of many favorites, India now face a difficult highway to the knockout phases, with web run fee (NRR) changing into a crucial think about a troublesome Group A.
The defeat has positioned India in a precarious place. With solely two groups from every group advancing to the semi-finals, Harmanpreet Kaur’s facet now has no margin for error.
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Their group, that includes six-time winners and three-time defending champions Australia, a resurgent New Zealand, arch-rivals Pakistan, and Asia Cup champions Sri Lanka, leaves no straightforward path forward.
What India should do to qualify for semis
India should now win all their remaining three group-stage matches – towards Pakistan, Sri Lanka, and Australia – to face any practical likelihood of qualifying. Whereas victories alone will assist, the character of these wins is equally essential.
India’s present web run fee of -2.900, severely dented by the loss to New Zealand, means they have to not solely win however accomplish that by vital margins to enhance their NRR, particularly if the qualification race turns into tight.
- Victory over Pakistan (October 6): India’s subsequent match towards Pakistan, who they’ve overwhelmed 12 occasions in 15 encounters, is essential. Whereas India have a robust historic document towards their rivals, they can not afford complacency. Pakistan are excessive on confidence after beating Sri Lanka comfortably of their opening recreation. A complete win right here will increase each morale and their web run fee.
- Essential conflict towards Sri Lanka (October 9): Sri Lanka might pose a much bigger problem, having defeated India within the Asia Cup last in July. Regardless of India’s general dominance over Sri Lanka in T20 World Cups (dropping solely as soon as), the group should intention for a large-margin win to take care of their semi-final possibilities.
- The massive take a look at towards Australia (October 13): Probably the most troublesome hurdle comes within the type of Australia, who’ve gained 25 of their 34 T20I encounters towards India, together with 4 of six conferences in T20 World Cups. India should discover a option to overcome the dominant champions to safe their place within the high two of Group A.
Impression of different outcomes
India’s destiny is not solely of their arms. Different key group-stage outcomes will play a pivotal function in figuring out semi-final spots:
- Australia vs New Zealand (October 8): A victory for Australia over New Zealand will create extra room for India if they will beat each Pakistan and Sri Lanka by massive margins. Nonetheless, if New Zealand win, India’s job turns into extra difficult, as New Zealand may cement a top-two spot, leaving just one spot open for the remaining groups.
- Pakistan vs New Zealand (October 14): If Pakistan defeat New Zealand, it may throw the group broad open, making web run fee much more crucial. India’s precedence would then shift in direction of successful by vital margins to maintain tempo with the NRR of different groups within the group.
Web Run Price challenges
With India’s NRR presently at -2.900, even three wins might not assure qualification if different outcomes do not go their approach. The group might want to capitalize on matches towards Pakistan and Sri Lanka, each winnable encounters, by securing dominant victories to restore their NRR. Within the worst-case state of affairs of a number of groups ending with related factors, NRR would be the deciding issue for development.