It’s as soon as once more that point of yr when followers get excited for the upcoming NHL season, so that they click on round and see dozens of articles with pre-season predictions. Not everybody loves studying them, as they’re only one particular person’s opinion, and most analysts hate making them, as a result of they’re tied to evaluations performed with incomplete info (accidents, acquisitions; so much adjustments quick in hockey).
The factor is, they do serve an actual function in that they set our expectations for the season, which is essential. Groups and gamers and coaches and managers aren’t judged in opposition to each other as a pure meritocracy, however are weighed on their efficiency relative to expectations (in any other case Luke Richardson wouldn’t nonetheless be the top coach in Chicago, for a random instance).
So, I’ll throw my ideas on the market, and let’s see if we are able to get on the identical web page about what we anticipate to see from every of the 32 groups within the season forward.
Anaheim Geese
The Geese simply completed third-last within the league with a minus-91 objective differential and proceeded so as to add nothing of substance to their roster, until you rely rookie Cutter Gauthier. Promoting a sluggish and affected person rebuild ensures a GM years of job safety, certain, however after six straight seasons of no playoffs for the Geese, anybody else really feel like they’re willingly strolling into 2024-25 as a punching bag but once more?
Boston Bruins
With Jeremy Swayman lastly re-signed, their low season appears to be like like amount out (Heinen, Lauko, DeBrusk, Forbort, Shattenkirk, and so on.), and high quality in (Elias Lindholm, Nikita Zadorov), so the Bruins’ basis of stable expertise means they’re in all probability nonetheless a playoff staff. The Swayman factor might change that although, as Linus Ullmark’s departure means they abruptly want the man or it’s Joonas Korpisalo time, and poor goaltending for a number of months may very well be sufficient to vary this forecast.
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Buffalo Sabres
Like most different groups within the league the Sabres have some succesful forwards, however they’ve the next upside than different non-playoff groups as a result of there’s at the least an opportunity a D-corps with Rasmus Dahlin, Owen Energy, and Bowen Byram hits ranges most groups can’t match. If Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen lives as much as his new contract and offers top-15 goaltending, don’t be shocked if the Sabres are within the playoff search out the stretch.
Calgary Flames
The Flames don’t appear comfy with the phrase, however it’s apparent they’re, um, “reallocating belongings in direction of future-facing development alternatives,” at this level (guys, it’s a rebuild). They despatched away Jacob Markstrom and Andrew Mangiapane for long-term acquire, and in flip, they need to be clearly out of the playoffs earlier than the deadline.
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Carolina Hurricanes
They misplaced Jake Guentzel and Teuvo Teravainen and Brett Pesce and Brady Skjei, which, y’know, in all probability issues. However their D are nonetheless extraordinarily good (added Sean Walker to the third pair), their goaltending needs to be good (it’s Pyotr Kochetkov’s time!), they usually’re quick sufficient to create issues, so in a weaker Metro Division, they need to be among the many groups vying for high spot.
Chicago Blackhawks
I like when a staff decides they’d prefer to cease getting embarrassed regularly and acquires a bunch on respectable NHL gamers to encompass their current promising draft picks — it must be some of the enjoyable phases for followers. I received’t checklist all of Chicago’s low season acquisitions, however with Tyler Bertuzzi, Ilya Mikheyev, Teuvo Teravainen, TJ Brodie, Alec Martinez and Laurent Brossoit (and drafting Artyom Levshunov), I’ve bought the Blackhawks taking an enormous step ahead this season.
Colorado Avalanche
The Avs are a little bit hamstrung heading into the season, given they don’t know if and when captain Gabriel Landeskog shall be accessible, and Valeri Nichushkin is suspended for having the audacity to (checks notes) take care of his dependancy (for those who missed the sarcasm, I nonetheless can’t imagine the league suspends gamers for relapsing throughout restoration). They’re good on the top-end, and I like their blue line, however as a result of they’re fairly meh across the center/backside, a division crown and extra rides on the 2 gamers above serving to out upon returning, plus getting good goaltending from Alexandar Georgiev and Justus Annunen.
Columbus Blue Jackets
I’m undecided the Blue Jackets season will ever depart the spectre of this summer time’s Johnny Gaudreau tragedy, neither is it vital that occurs. Hopefully Adam Fantilli provides followers one thing to cheer for and the opposite younger skills take a step so there’s some ahead progress in direction of higher days, as a result of wanting on the roster, it doesn’t seem to be a season the place they’re ripe for lots of profitable (don’t rule out incomes a primary total choose).
Dallas Stars
The Stars didn’t do a ton this low season, however they didn’t actually should given the quantity of expertise on the roster. They’ve bought an important goalie, they’ve paired offensively gifted defencemen with guys who can hit (new additions Ilya Lyubushkin and Matt Dumba), they usually’ve bought a mixture of young and old offensive skills, which all collectively makes them the prohibitive Central Division favorite.
Detroit Purple Wings
It’s really unusual to look again finally season and bear in mind the Purple Wings solely missed the playoffs by a tiebreaker with Washington, as more often than not they appeared unthreatening and largely simply “OK” (which checks out relating to the ultimate playoff spot within the East final yr). Their low season was outlined by completely treading water with their in/out checklist, and retaining their good gamers, so they appear primed for…91 factors once more, possibly?
Edmonton Oilers
The unequivocal “finest staff within the NHL” heading into Day 1 of the season (their over/beneath level line is about 5 factors increased than the next-best staff on most books). There’s possibly some weight to that, however they improved their superb roster from final season (I like Viktor Arvidsson so much if wholesome), I like Stuart Skinner’s odds of getting an important yr after an important playoffs, so yeah, these are your Presidents’ Trophy favourites.
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Florida Panthers
All the things went proper final season for the Panthers (Sam Reinhart scored 57 occasions!), they usually stayed true to their unquestioned identification of being extraordinarily un-fun to play in opposition to. However they misplaced a pair good defencemen in Brandon Montour and Oliver Ekman-Larsson, they misplaced a number of bodily gamers, they usually bought the second-best goaltending within the league final yr in staff save share, and so I believe it’s attainable they take a step again into the low-100s for factors and could have their arms full attempting to remain wholesome and go deep for a 3rd straight season.
Los Angeles Kings
The Kings are coming off a 99-point season with a plus-41 objective differential but it seems like they’re going to be in powerful to get to 95 this yr (and 98 was the playoff cut-off within the West final season). Matt Roy is gone and Drew Doughty is out long-term, they bought the fourth-best goaltending within the league final yr however are giving the keys to Darcy Kuemper (who had an .890 SV% final yr), and it simply seems like they treaded water at finest this summer time, which might imply they sink this winter.
Minnesota Wild
The previous few seasons have seen the Wild drop from 113 factors to 103 factors to 87, which feels a bit dramatic for the still-decent expertise on the roster (regardless of the wage cap constraints!). Their mixed taking pictures and save share (PDO) final yr was bottom-10 within the league, so I anticipate some bounce-back, however they sort of really feel just like the generic staff it’s important to (and can) beat in a online game to stage up and get to the boss-level opponents when it actually issues.
Montreal Canadiens
This staff is stuffed with promising however younger defencemen, a cash pit at proper wing, inexperienced (or simply under common) at centre, and possibly nearer to a 75-point squad than the practically 95 it would take to make the playoffs within the East. That stated, they’ve bought younger prospects who might shock, they usually’ve bought draft picks in the event that they determine to make trades and get aggressive ahead of later (you’ll be able to solely carry 50 contracts in any case), so the best-case situation is that they do what Chicago did this previous summer time and say “OK, time to win now” with some in-season transactions.
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Nashville Predators
OK, lean in shut and hold this between us because it’s apparently an enormous fake pas to say too loud: I’m not as excessive on the Preds (and their low season) as everybody else. They’ve bought expertise and sensible veteran gamers, they are going to do issues the precise method and be powerful beat and all that (yada yada), however their blue line is simply OK, and their most vital forwards are outdated, so they simply appear constructed to get 97 factors and be eradicated by Dallas within the first spherical.
New Jersey Devils
The one attainable motive to doubt the Devils is that, from the consensus of about 300 NHL preview articles, everybody thinks they’re going to be nice. However in equity, they’re coming off a yr with horrible damage luck (Dougie Hamilton and Jack Hughes), they bought dangerous goaltending (and traded for goaltender in Markstrom), they usually bought a brand new coach (Sheldon Keefe) which normally helps generate some further pop, so I assume signal me up, they appear like the Metro Division favourites?
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New York Islanders
The Islanders completed the 2023-24 NHL season second-last in anticipated targets in opposition to, they don’t fairly have sufficient scoring, and so I don’t fairly perceive them taking a look at their roster and going “possibly if we run it again it should work?” There’s nonetheless so much to love about their veteran staff, and so I see nonetheless see a playoff chase within the playing cards, however they in all probability wanted greater than a Patrick Roy pop (and Anthony Duclair scoring a number of) to push them into legit Stanley Cup rivalry.
New York Rangers
It doesn’t even appear proper remembering that the New York Rangers received the Presidents’ Trophy final season, given it seems like they had been not so good as Florida, or Edmonton, or Dallas, or Colorado, or, or, or…others. However they did win it, they usually didn’t change a lot of something (possibly taking a small step again minus guys similar to Alex Wennberg and Jack Roslovic), so I assume they’ll be a 100-plus level staff once more this season, although it received’t be one other Presidents’ Trophy.
Ottawa Senators
There’s an important clip of professional golfer Will Zalatoris speaking about how arduous it’s for a ten handicap to get right down to a 5, however he notes that it’s exponentially tougher for a 5 to get right down to a zero, and I believe that’s a related metaphor for the Ottawa Senators. OK, you’ve improved so much just lately — there’s some actual expertise there — now are you able to grind down the finer factors and beat your good opponents sufficient to complete within the high half of the league (methinks it’ll be shut, however provided that they keep wholesome)?
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Philadelphia Flyers
The Flyers appear within the midst of a correct rebuild, as their roster is plagued by younger gamers who’re about to get an actual likelihood to indicate their price, whereas the general staff is more likely to be Fairly Dangerous. Hopefully for them Matvei Michkov is runaway-Calder-level good, however it’s awfully powerful for me to have a look at that roster coming off an 87-point season and forecast a greater season forward (however they need to draft excessive once more!).
Pittsburgh Penguins
I’m bullish on this Penguins roster, as they’ve bought high quality on the top-end, good veterans all through the lineup (I like Kevin Hayes and Rickard Rakell in tertiary roles), and I believe some good worth guys filling in round them this season. I additionally suppose Kyle Dubas is aware of this can be a “win now” staff given its age, and they also’ll be aggressive, which in flip means I anticipate them to enhance in-season and make the playoffs.
San Jose Sharks
Rebuilds are painful and the Sharks are going to be awfully rebuildy to look at this season (I’d prefer to see them add a pair respectable NHL gamers, to not be aggressive however only for the nice of all concerned). That stated, you simply hope Macklin Celebrini and Will Smith present sufficient flashes of greatness that Sharks followers begin to see what may very well be in a number of years.
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Seattle Kraken
Generally a staff indicators a UFA deal and other people go “woof, I’m undecided about that contract,” regardless that there’s no denying that the staff bought higher with the added participant. Effectively, Chandler Stephenson and Brandon Montour make Seattle higher, Shane Wright appears to be like prepared, and so I received’t be shocked if the Kraken discover their method again to the playoffs this season.
St. Louis Blues
Possibly it’s as a result of I’m in media, however I are inclined to hate when groups who’re OK take a look at their roster and go “um, inner development ought to repair this,” as a result of — breaking information — everybody will get a little bit higher yearly, rising from inside doesn’t make you particular. I like that the Blues supplied sheeted (and bought) two good younger gamers in Philip Broberg and Dylan Holloway, who received’t be sufficient to make them a playoff staff however ought to assist for years to return.
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Tampa Bay Lightning
Letting Stamkos go after which paying Guentzel is fairly ruthless (identical with buying and selling away Mikhail Sergachev), however make no mistake, the Bolts are an analytics group that’s attempting to win Stanley Cups, they usually knew that they wanted to attempt one thing totally different. With a bounce-back season from Andrei Vasilevskiy, I anticipate the Bolts to be a playoff staff but once more.
Toronto Maple Leafs
Followers are annoyed they’re going to run again the identical core, however these are awfully good hockey gamers most groups would kill to have, and so you’ll be able to anticipate them to win numerous (common season!) video games but once more. Their defencemen are higher, they’ve bought legit competitors for his or her depth ahead spots, and so in the event that they get even league common goaltending (which is probably going however not a given), they need to surpass final season’s 102 factors.
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Utah Hockey Membership
Utah (previously Arizona) bought critical about their defence, getting Sergachev, Ian Cole, John Marino, and Robert Bortuzzo, which abruptly makes them playoff contenders, given their stable ahead group. The larger factor right here is I anticipate they’ll wish to compete instantly, so will spend some draft capital to get higher now, they usually’ll be a aggressive staff this yr, proper round that playoff hunt.
Vancouver Canucks
The defending Pacific Division champs (common season) could not equal their nice heights of final season, however that is nonetheless a very good staff, even with the huge turnover. Jake DeBrusk, Danton Heinen, Vinny Desharnais … these are guys who ought to assist help the elite expertise on the Canucks’ roster, and so I anticipate them to complete second within the Pacific (behind Edmonton), with their destiny from there driving solely on the well being of Thatcher Demko.
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Vegas Golden Knights
As a lot because it’s tempting to say “Vegas is lastly going to pay for his or her sin of being too aggressive,” their defence corps continues to be Alex Pietrangelo, Shea Theodore, Noah Hanifin, Nic Hague, Zach Whitecloud, and Brayden McNabb, so yeah, they’re nonetheless going to win numerous video games. However we’ll see if they will rating and get the goaltending wanted to take them from simply one other playoff staff to a extra critical contender.
Washington Capitals
The Caps weren’t staff final season (minus-37 objective differential), however they took aggressive steps to rectify that this low season, getting Jakob Chychrun, Matt Roy, Andrew Mangiapane, Brandon Duhaime, and the ever-mystifying Pierre-Luc Dubois. They’re nearly undoubtedly higher than they had been final season, so I’ll say they’ve taken a step from dangerous to common, and will end… about the place they did final season, both simply in, or simply out of the playoffs (all whereas being on Ovi Watch, as Alex Ovechkin wants 42 targets to interrupt Wayne Gretzky’s all-time document).
Winnipeg Jets
The Jets had an enormous 110 factors final season, and the bones of that staff are nonetheless in place, together with arguably the league’s finest goalie in Connor Hellebuyck. However whereas this can be a superb staff, they fell brief final post-season, and let a number of good gamers go (Tyler Toffoli, Sean Monahan, Brenden Dillon, Laurent Brossoit to call a number of) with out actually changing them, so it’ll be a year-long battle for the playoffs, barring the addition of some assist alongside the way in which.