In accordance with IMD, the seasonal rainfall was 108% of the long-period common (LPA) from June to September. Monsoon between 96-104% of the LPA is taken into account regular. (Representational photograph/PTI)
Although delayed by over every week, the monsoon will withdraw from northwest and central India this week. Nonetheless, India continues to be anticipated to get extra rains in October, as per IMD
The four-month monsoon season has drawn to an in depth with above-normal rains over India. The drought-prone areas of West Rajasthan and Saurashtra-Kachchh turned the wettest this season with +70% greater than traditional rains, whereas the important thing agricultural state of Punjab noticed a shortfall of practically -28%.
In accordance with India Meteorological Division (IMD) chief Dr M Mohapatra, this was largely because of the 14 low-pressure methods which shaped over the Bay of Bengal, most of which travelled alongside central India, Rajasthan and Gujarat in direction of the Arabian Sea. Only a few of them moved in direction of the foothills of the Himalayas, therefore the deficit in Punjab (-28%) and Jammu and Kashmir (-26%).
These climate methods are accountable for almost all of the rain through the season, and also can intensify to turn into ‘depressions/deep depressions’. “After a very long time, we obtained so many intensified methods. There have been six such depressions, usually we’ve got been getting solely 3-4 over the last 20 years. Total, it was an excellent monsoon yr. Practically 89% of the sub-divisional space of the nation noticed regular to above-normal rains. It was under regular within the remaining 11%,” he added.
In accordance with IMD, the seasonal rainfall was 108% of the long-period common (LPA) from June to September. Monsoon between 96-104% of the LPA is taken into account regular.
The monsoon was powered by 14 low-pressure methods in opposition to the traditional of 13, however they lasted for practically 69 days in comparison with the same old 55. Six of them intensified and one among them became a uncommon cyclonic storm, Asna, which brought about disastrous rain spells over Gujarat and adjoining Rajasthan districts.
Area-wise, solely northeast India recorded below-normal rains (86% of LPA), whereas it was ‘above-normal’ over northwest India (107%), central India (119%), and the south peninsula (114% of LPA).
Sub-division-wise, the deficit persevered in Punjab (-28%), Jammu and Kashmir (-26%), and Arunachal Pradesh (-28%). One other main cause for the poor rain in north India was the southward place of the monsoon trough for many of the season. Additionally, there have been no main western disturbances all via the season, which may have made up for the shortfall within the Himalayan foothills.
MONSOON WITHDRAWAL FROM NORTHWEST INDIA THIS WEEK
The monsoon has already begun its withdrawal from west Rajasthan on September 23. Nonetheless, its retreat from north-western states has been delayed once more this yr. Forecasters predict it may take one other week to retreat from Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Himachal Pradesh and components of Uttarakhand.
However IMD has nonetheless indicated a excessive chance of extra rains in October – which might be 115% of the long-period common (LPA). The rains are prone to be ‘above-normal’ over most components of the nation, besides some components of northeast and northwest India like Punjab.
EXCESS RAINS IN SOUTHERN PENINSULA THIS WINTER
In the meantime, the southern peninsula is bracing for its ‘winter monsoon’ – the north-east monsoon which usually arrives over the southern coast by October 15. It’s liable for bringing 30% of the annual rainfall over the 5 subdivisions of Tamil Nadu-Puducherry, Kerala, south inside Karnataka, Rayalaseema, and coastal Andhra Pradesh throughout October-December.
In accordance with IMD, the area is prone to witness above-normal rains throughout this era – no less than 112% above the long-period common (LPA). “There’s a good chance of ‘above-normal’ rains for all the southeast peninsula this yr. Nonetheless, it could be near-normal in Tamil Nadu because the state normally doesn’t get superb rains throughout a La-Nina yr. Nonetheless, the precise image will get clear as soon as the north-east monsoon units in,” stated the IMD chief on Tuesday.